1* Free Sharp Play on Villarreal

1* Free Pick on Lions

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Giants/Falcons OVER 42.5

The Atlanta Falcons have made the switch to Michael Penix Jr. at quarterback.  Kirk Cousins' shoulder clearly isn't right and the Falcons wouldn't make the move if they didn't think it was the right one to give their offense the best chance to be success.  Penix Jr. has overcome the odds everywhere he has been, and I think he'll be ready for this moment.

Getting to sit and watch for basically the entire season will have him advanced mentally more than most rookie QB's who are thrust into action early in the season.  This is also a soft landing spot for him getting to go up against a banged up, terrible Giants defense.

The Giants have 10 defenders on IR, three out and another two questionable in LB Brian Burns and CB Deonte Banks.  The Giants have allowed at least 26 points in six of their last eight games overall.  I think the Falcons can easily get 27-plus in this one.

The Giants get an upgrade at QB this week with Drew Lock returning to replace Tommy DeVito.  They are almost fully healthy on offense right now with the exception of two starters on the O-Line.  Nabers, Tracy Jr. and Robinson are three underrated weapons for Lock to get the ball to.

I think the Giants can come close to getting to 20 points in this one.  The Falcons have allowed at least 20 points in 11 of their last 13 games overall.  They rank 25th in scoring defense allowing 24.4 points per game.  I think the fact that they held Desmond Ridder and the Raiders in check last week is being factored too much into this total this week.

The Falcons and their opponents have combined for at least 44 points in eight of their last 11 games.  Atlanta has stayed remarkably healthy on offense, and I think having a capable, healthy QB this week in Penix Jr. will have their offense rejuvenated to make some plays for him.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Chicago Bears +6.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago Bears as 6.5-point home dogs to the Detroit Lions on Sunday.  The Bears will be hungry to avenge their 23-20 road loss at Detroit on Christmas Day.  Now they are at home where they have one of the biggest home/road splits in the NFL.  The Bears are 3-3 SU & 4-1-1 ATS at home this season.  The took the Vikings to OT and only lost by a single point to the Packers in their last 2 home games to show what they are capable of at home.  The Lions just lost RB David Montgomery last week, but their defense is the bigger concern.  They have 14 defenders on IL alone including 5 key starters.  It's no wonder they gave up 42 points and 559 yards to the Bills last week.  Even Caleb Williams and the Bears will have plenty of success here getting to take a big step down in class after facing the Vikings and 49ers defenses the last 2 weeks.  The Bears are 3-0 ATS in the last 3 matchups with an outright upset at home and 3 and 5-point losses on the road.  Take Chicago.

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David's 1% NFL Free Pick

We really like the under in this matchup. The line is highly influenced by Aaron Rodgers' recent starts, but his season numbers are still almost embarrassing compared to the expectations, and our opinion is that this is an overreaction. The Rams scored just 12 points in a win over the 49ers last week and the weather conditions in New York won't do their offense any favors. 

This is a 1% free play on the under. 

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm ET on Sunday.

Philadelphia extended its winning streak to 10 games with a double-digit win over Pittsburgh last week, but divisional rematches often yield tighter contests. Earlier this season, the Eagles edged Washington 26-18 in a competitive game, and the Commanders have an opportunity to close the gap in this second meeting.

Washington is coming off a one-point victory in New Orleans, where it built a 17-0 lead before narrowly escaping after a missed two-point conversion by the Saints. While that performance wasn’t flawless, it showcased the Commanders' ability to compete under pressure.

The Eagles are undoubtedly one of the league’s top teams, but a divisional opponent like Washington, with its capable defense and balanced offense, can keep things close. Expect the Commanders to improve on their earlier performance against Philadelphia and stay within striking distance throughout.

Take Washington. Projected score: Philadelphia 23, Washington 21.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cincinnati Bengals -8.5

The Cincinnati Bengals are very much alive in the AFC wild card race now with the Denver Broncos losing to the Los Angeles Chargers on Thursday.  They get to host the Broncos next week, so they essentially could gain two games on them plus the tiebreaker if they win their next two games.  The Broncos play the Chiefs in Week 18 as well so could lose out.  Now the Bengals will handle their business against the Cleveland Browns this week.  The Browns have pretty much given up on their season at this point starting 3rd-string QB Dorian-Thompson Robinson for this one.  He hasn't been successful with any of his opportunities and he is a big downgrade from Jamies Winston.  The Browns don't have the firepower to keep up with the Bengals, who have scored at least 27 points in six consecutive games while averaging 34 points per game during this stretch.  If they get to 27 in this one it will be enough to cover and I'm expecting at least 30. Give me the Bengals.

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Lions

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Free Pick on Bears

EAGLES/COMMANDERS NFL FREE PICK

The Philadelphia Eagles aim to secure their 11th straight win and clinch the NFC East when they visit the Washington Commanders on Sunday.

While Washington has back-to-back wins, they struggled through a three-game skid before that, including a 26-18 loss at Philly. The Commanders had no answers for the Eagles' dominant ground game in that matchup, and there's little reason to expect a different outcome this time.

3% FREE PICK ON THE EAGLES. 

Mike is on a 14-7 (67%) RUN with his top-rated (4-5%) NFL sides! This Sunday, he’s firing three NFL sides, including a 5% MAX BET premium pick on Rams/Jets and a 4% TOP PLAY on the Bucs/Cowboys Sunday night matchup. Addtionally, Mike also has a 4% NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY on the Giants/Falcons game for a total of four NFL premium picks. 

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Sunday card has 4 NFL TOP PLAYS 3 SIDES and a TOTAL as well as a College hops blowout and NBA. Last week we cashed our Game of the Year and had Baltimore big on Saturday. Comp play below

The NFL Comp play is on Buffalo at 4:25 eastern. The Bills cashed big as our top play last week and 14 points is a bit high. However, the Bills apply to 2 different database systems here today, the lead system has cashed 11 of 12 times and pertains to divisional teams as a double digit favorite that had low amounts of turnovers. The Bills are 6-0 at home and likely win and cover here as the Patriots will not have an answer on defense. Play on Buffalo. Rob V-

Ricky's 1* play on TOR.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Toronto are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Houston.

- Toronto are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played in December.

- Toronto are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog.

Army -17 1.1% free play